TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda87…ca76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malyginabacked Elena Malygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Oleg Prihodkobacked Matyas Fule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Cordenons: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+266.3%+$53.26
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+575.7%+$115.14
Iasi Open: Clara Burel vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dartbacked Mina Hodzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Istanbul 2: Kyoka Okamura vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Kyoka Okamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Rome: Lina Gjorcheska vs Deborah Chiesabacked Deborah Chiesa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$25.57
Kitzbuehel: Polona Hercog vs Dalila Jakupovicbacked Dalila Jakupovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelyginabacked Ekaterina Perelygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midonbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liege: Kimmer Coppejans vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Roda De Bara: Ludovico Vaccari vs Aren Baybarsbacked Aren Baybars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+493.4%+$246.7
Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancacciobacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Bogota: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Lucas Da Silvabacked Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Pigeons (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Bbacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs b52team (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Bbacked b52team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked FURIA fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+299.1%+$44.86
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: STATE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked MIBR fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$79.17
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fluxo (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+146.3%+$68.94
Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Cbacked ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+343.5%+$157.07
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.47
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.56
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$109.2
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$118.51
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$97.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio Bobcats vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (W)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
SIUE Cougars vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$129.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+172.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+113.3%+$113.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$36.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$97.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.