CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f02a01099649c28962633ea6d0ad1db994be598089be058ee3366c3df3ed18c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 33of 33, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0937…57e0backed FORZE Reload | 26c | 1,510$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…7858backed 33 | 74c | 1,050$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…4c36backed FORZE Reload | 26c | 1,050$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…2323backed 33 | 74c | 1,030$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…1ba4backed FORZE Reload | 26c | 1,030$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 921.25$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…bbd4backed 33 | 74c | 760$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…0684backed 33 | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 26c | 606$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 33 | 74c | 256$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed FORZE Reload | 23c | 241.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked FORZE Reload | 23c | 228.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 33 | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…bb7ebacked FORZE Reload | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed 33 | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0000…296fbacked FORZE Reload | 15c | 132.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed FORZE Reload | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 13c | 105.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked 33 | 77c | 95.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed FORZE Reload | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 33 | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed 33 | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed 33 | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed 33 | 57c | 28.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner33 won
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner33 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)33 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.