CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a033936c98d405628545867c87ebe422cd1963a30c9f496815eec4cd9638370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Favbet | 62c | 1,700$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 1,658$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.76 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Favbet | 45c | 1,652$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.61 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 1,035$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.01 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Favbet | 62c | 928.51$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.63 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 782.26$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.35 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 738.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.3 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Favbet | 45c | 738.36$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Favbet | 58c | 688.46$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.19 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…da56backed Favbet | 4c | 675.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 638.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.5 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 41c | 580.05$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.24 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Favbet | 79c | 451.01$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.29 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Favbet | 26c | 446.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Favbet | 23c | 436.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 354.06$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 338.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 283.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 275.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Favbet | 58c | 258.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Favbet | 51c | 258.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 249.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…5c3dbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 249.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 225.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 202.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 200.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…96eabacked Favbet | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…1ff8backed Favbet | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Favbet | 59c | 168.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Favbet | 60c | 167.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…a271backed Favbet | 61c | 158$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Favbet | 62c | 156$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 146.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 68c | 137.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 133.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 124.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Favbet | 51c | 108.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 108.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Favbet | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 34c | 92.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…0fdcbacked Favbet | 32c | 90.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7005…8379backed Favbet | 42c | 82.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Favbet | 77c | 81.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 79.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3597backed Favbet | 64c | 77.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 76.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Favbet | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed Favbet | 67c | 74.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked MOUZ NXT | 23c | 64.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 319 | 31.7%101 W · 218 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Favbet | 19c | 59.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…1c3cbacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 53.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…ed86backed Favbet | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Favbet | 32c | 45.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 44.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 43.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Favbet | 72c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8da1backed Favbet | 28c | 40.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Favbet | 41c | 40.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked Favbet | 59c | 40.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Favbet | 62c | 36.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…06c2backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 34.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Favbet | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Favbet | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Favbet | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Favbet | 78c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…2a0abacked Favbet | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Favbet | 61c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Favbet | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Favbet | 74c | 14.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.