Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8cd63bda9ce68f7c0657e3f00f50cd2e0739a63de26c49991f9efe0260b05f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 11,309$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 9,025$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.25 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 53c | 6,877$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.19 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 6,581$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.27 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 6,184$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 4,311$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.87 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 51c | 3,180$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 2,629$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.34 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…37a3backed Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 53c | 2,001$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.28 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 48c | 1,731$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.88 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 1,593$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.21 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 49c | 1,539$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 1,353$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.74 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,337$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 48c | 1,288$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.8 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 43c | 1,200$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 51c | 887.13$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…d17fbacked Yes | 26c | 884.15$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 49c | 708.16$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 49c | 700.04$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 666.71$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes | 49c | 610$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 48c | 571.38$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.02 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 50c | 555.36$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 48c | 516.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…c231backed Yes | 48c | 501$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 495$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 488.5$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.48 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 52c | 457.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 49c | 443$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 421.4$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 51c | 366$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 44c | 338.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 48c | 332$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 311.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 49c | 307$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 32c | 299.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…4468backed No | 52c | 279$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 263.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 12c | 260.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 50c | 260.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 43c | 258.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 48c | 248$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 48c | 248$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…de26backed Yes | 49c | 226.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…ed50backed No | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 75c | 203.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 48c | 202.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…2138backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35be…a347backed No | 53c | 198$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 29c | 195.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed No | 51c | 178.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…8ec6backed Yes | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.