TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No65c31,449$20,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,007.2830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes35c30,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c15,377$10,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes35c15,000$5,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,297.099845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c14,943$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,370.51,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No64c14,100$9,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.9510455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes36c11,112$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No64c8,125$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.645754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No65c6,626$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.045271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c6,166$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.712,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0883…f9cbbacked Yes37c6,081$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No64c3,986$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No64c3,181$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.1612241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes6c3,138$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9620448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes2c2,597$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6417745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c2,300$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8021,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes35c2,179$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.6210426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No65c2,112$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes36c2,050$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes36c2,010$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.626835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7206046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72024146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes3c2,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5170%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes36c1,675$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005042%21 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes36c1,556$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5254658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No65c1,205$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.3840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes36c1,187$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No65c1,043$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No65c999.98$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9926651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes34c999.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No64c936.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes35c900.23$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.155339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c866.72$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c802$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.851,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes5c799.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No65c758.1$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3316863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes36c752.19$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7918929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c5…dc74backed Yes36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes4c660$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.65545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes7c653.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No64c599.98$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9929259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No64c543.35$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No64c537.43$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes29c530$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.523531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed No66c511.74$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-48.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No64c499.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes34c482.24$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.967754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes36c473.81$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5716346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes36c444.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes31c441.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.952951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61cb…f1f6backed Yes6c424.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No64c422.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15213829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes36c414.66$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.283850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes37c408.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.894546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14825553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1367147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No63c398.86$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5833057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes35c350$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.54434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No63c346.18$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0925551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No65c328.97$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1415764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes36c314$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.042737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No64c313.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.038552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b8…a462backed Yes35c305$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No66c304.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.094264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes35c303.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.554119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10827752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11156158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes36c295.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.275050%25 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006538.5%25 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No65c282.09$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.