Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16dd4d37f4f8dde500e8052a9ff06f6dc92f7eff60d4e0b3cc5cfcc3db99b48b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 5,251$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 5,023$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 2,588$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.51 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 69c | 1,197$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.14 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 32c | 1,006$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 920.61$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.18 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 669.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 23c | 663.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 631$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 74c | 399.75$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 70c | 397.67$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 69c | 313$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 31c | 209.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 10c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 171.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 154.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 31c | 132.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…5010backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…e074backed No | 70c | 92.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 91.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 70c | 75.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 31c | 65.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 70c | 58.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 31c | 51.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Yes | 33c | 44.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 30c | 35.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 75cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 79c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 17.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.