TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23fe…9788backed No1c18,029$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No19c13,486$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.816,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed No64c8,803$5,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,634.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No26c7,441$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.2513829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No1c6,412$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4212159.5%72 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes34c3,600$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.9717833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No65c3,222$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.165862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked No25c3,075$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes34c2,941$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.1812441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…150bbacked No12c2,659$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9380%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No68c2,645$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.413154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes34c2,500$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65024146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No65c2,310$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.53063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c2,119$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.061,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x047b…a775backed Yes34c2,089$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes34c2,059$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.8253134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b7…57fcbacked Yes34c2,042$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.997357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa06f…e831backed Yes34c1,960$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x031f…faccbacked Yes34c1,847$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No66c1,762$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.925271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No66c1,599$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.585754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe949…6b3ebacked Yes34c1,584$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a65…e097backed Yes34c1,563$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+123.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c1,539$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.054,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8071…9cfebacked No66c1,525$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb471…69cdbacked Yes34c1,521$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5712649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb8…33cdbacked Yes63c1,417$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac6a…1395backed No66c1,373$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…42edbacked Yes34c1,327$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No17c1,249$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6113132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…e927backed No66c1,245$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes34c1,199$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.491,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e7…471cbacked No66c1,190$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb89e…0331backed No66c1,163$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c1,065$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.7768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No12c1,051$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0813727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No63c999.96$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.976046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ba…5681backed Yes34c996$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x965d…726abacked Yes34c988$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f13…d7c8backed No66c984$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked No67c966.43$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f5…405abacked No66c956$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x221b…d798backed No66c942$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0efd…2030backed Yes34c893$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0989…e55fbacked No66c866$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa641…3047backed No66c866$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…1b16backed No66c823$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+53.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23ef…6e04backed No66c822$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe779…4df4backed No66c816$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x340d…ca6ebacked No66c812$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49bc…3193backed No66c809$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Yes34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb82…cd96backed No66c800$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…1297backed No66c794$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1d…d9f1backed Yes34c787.83$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No13c780.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x766c…f6cabacked No66c777$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca6…fae8backed No66c759$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes35c754.12$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8110956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes34c722$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.5211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…9c9fbacked Yes34c707$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes34c673.53$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5327024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes35c660.13$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.137741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc70a…4f26backed No66c650$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…36edbacked No66c641$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec9f…69f9backed Yes34c641$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a0…659fbacked No66c638$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba7d…c164backed No66c608$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c1…c5ccbacked No66c604$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.64757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.245825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95a…e0e9backed Yes34c585.57$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8c…c593backed Yes34c567$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2b…a648backed No66c525$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes37c483.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.351735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac1…6c44backed No66c476$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d0…e4d1backed No66c466$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.56366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f4…72bcbacked Yes34c466$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes36c450$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28811346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1222…13dfbacked No66c438$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fd…9f19backed No66c423$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes36c400$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2588747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes66c383.97$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.631957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b4…f904backed No66c382$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c97…fbffbacked No66c381$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b6…6a26backed Yes34c377$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+123.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefb1…7173backed Yes34c374$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c356$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.531,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes35c350$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.54434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes36c349.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3818551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…48ddbacked No66c338$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8d…0ad2backed No66c336$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No66c331.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.