La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe98c207863eb47e82aa7a28c7e00f0331e0560ce0763f0fe4213cb9e53945b81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 2,159$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.07 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,256$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 1,032$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.27 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 52c | 890$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.18 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 880.81$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.06 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 736.36$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.93 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 50c | 698$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 658.85$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.66 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 45c | 635.34$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.83 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 49c | 290.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 244.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 48c | 215.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 211.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 47c | 204.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 53c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…208ebacked No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 124.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 123.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 50c | 99.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 51c | 94.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 50c | 87.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Yes | 47c | 81.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 33c | 74.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 74.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 43c | 69.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…18bfbacked Yes | 56c | 64.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 56c | 62.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 62.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 60.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Yes | 69c | 57.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…5174backed No | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…da7fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a8bebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 64c | 38.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 36.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 61c | 33.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…bfdfbacked Yes | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 50c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 25.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…b71ebacked Yes | 56c | 24.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 52c | 23.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5eb…6269backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 19.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.