La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5544a72305f262156c0f2ecd4613a6132b34ea9fc80401f92d24b2ce6b7142a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 3,772$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 67c | 1,583$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 58c | 1,102$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.4 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 48c | 999.89$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 45c | 595.34$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.61 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No | 20c | 448.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 360.28$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 29c | 252.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 216.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Yes | 32c | 215.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 201.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 57c | 199.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…208ebacked No | 72c | 142$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 140.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 126.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 105.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed Yes | 30c | 103.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 23c | 97.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Yes | 42c | 72.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 61.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 54.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 72c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 46.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 43c | 42.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 42.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…42b3backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yes | 28c | 37.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 33c | 31.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 41c | 26.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…a808backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…2859backed No | 67c | 15.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.