Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaadc298c68c74ea5bb9a9e3ce33ba6442c2593c598385b7c4b3c504c82a2b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 45c | 106,046$48,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,204.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 32,899$17,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,001.67 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 23,849$12,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,970.54 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 55c | 19,073$10,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,582.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 16,602$9,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,246.77 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 13,857$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.65 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 11,947$6,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 46c | 11,644$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.34 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 9,578$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 55c | 8,431$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 55c | 3,260$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 62c | 1,634$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.96 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,546$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.75 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 1,301$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.39 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 1,260$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.41 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 54c | 667.6$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 649.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 54c | 637.49$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 55c | 515.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 55c | 457.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 14c | 440.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 44c | 393.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 54c | 389$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 62c | 385.28$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 55c | 336.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 285.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3043backed Yes | 45c | 275$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 22c | 268.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 238$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 221$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed No | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 44c | 196$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 54c | 192.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 55c | 178.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 152.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 148.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…7deabacked Yes | 25c | 135.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 125.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 45c | 121.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 61c | 116.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 110.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…35eabacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 45c | 89.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 54c | 85.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5bc5backed Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 55c | 81.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 28c | 79.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 74c | 69.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 66.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 54c | 66.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…082bbacked Yes | 46c | 63.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Yes | 46c | 60.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Yes | 46c | 55.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…644abacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…d6cebacked Yes | 30c | 49.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed No | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 44c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Yes | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.