Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f63336e104414b327956e002af92e30a157d6414c2d4f90bce2580e2b740f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 70c | 7,999$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.78 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 4,626$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 989.33$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.53 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 70c | 917.69$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 27c | 865.26$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 471.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 3c | 470$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 323.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.29 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 320.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 241.49$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 27c | 211.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…5010backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…bb98backed Yes | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 33c | 76.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 73.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 62.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 74c | 62.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 75c | 52.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 72c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 29.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.