TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c9f…082b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST4753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.42
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42%+$7.57
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.12
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.9
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.58
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$7.07
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.38
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+74.6%+$11.02
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+139.3%+$19.18
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+115.4%+$26.14
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+147.7%+$48.6
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.33
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+232.6%+$28.37
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.2%+$6.74
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+76%+$24.59
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$32.68
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+179.9%+$41.53
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.79
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+724.2%+$94.14
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.74
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+135.5%+$14.12
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.94
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+50.9%+$13
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.71
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$13.29
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+64%+$21.11
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+31.4%+$6.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+180.6%+$28.96
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+188.2%+$39.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+157.2%+$27.17
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$13.35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+132.4%+$32.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+36.2%+$10.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.1%+$4.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.93
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.72
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+54.3%+$9.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.7%+$8.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.