TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$447,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$486,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Jets50c79,023$39,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,222.888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild51c56,862$28,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,106.661,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Jets50c45,075$22,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,537.4311955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wild50c33,620$16,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,773.8756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Wild51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,25042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Jets50c21,060$10,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,565.913553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Wild51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8004247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets49c17,965$8,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,802.8579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Wild50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Wild50c14,371$7,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,185.6311052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets49c10,542$5,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,165.431,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets59c10,195$6,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,029.9585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets49c9,726$4,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,812.21,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wild41c9,496$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,629.4838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets47c8,627$4,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,094.011,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets61c8,622$5,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.111,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jets50c7,984$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.0619555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild52c7,545$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.791,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Wild50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1a…8bedbacked Wild52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Jets2c5,714$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.282174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild52c5,555$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Jets49c5,000$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.0324654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Wild50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Jets50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild52c4,879$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.951,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Wild51c4,412$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.8533243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets49c4,300$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10722946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Jets49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9603740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Wild51c3,982$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.3818840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jets49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Jets4c3,000$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.41076.5%7 W · 100 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wild50c2,997$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.051,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Jets48c2,764$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.6428652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jets19c2,589$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.632,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jets50c2,534$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.6531851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c2,521$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.217450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild50c2,500$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25533652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Jets6c2,459$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5429412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Wild23c2,141$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.4529926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets48c2,125$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.3862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wild45c2,110$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.0699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Wild52c2,110$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.3589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Jets64c2,021$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.996958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets36c1,976$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.3689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0843743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Jets49c1,867$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.5922852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88238046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Wild75c1,695$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.2932744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5585…dd3ebacked Jets2c1,650$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Jets49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Wild68c1,527$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.233762.2%23 W · 14 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+59.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jets6c1,513$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.721,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jets51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Wild50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Wild50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70025555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df3…53d7backed Wild57c1,203$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.682955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild49c1,202$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.071,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wild49c1,184$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.7152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets58c1,176$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.192,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Wild38c1,022$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.927347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Jets49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.87157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Wild52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets48c991.5$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets55c983$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.362,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets48c908.34$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4362,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0192…6995backed Jets63c895.94$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.39668.8%66 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild51c879.46$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.723,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Wild50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild51c799.94$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed Wild52c776.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.222360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c4…e05abacked Jets6c768.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild50c723.86$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.51,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Wild52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33670249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild43c619$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Jets49c613$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.371030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Wild50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jets48c599.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Wild51c588.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.647051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets50c588.28$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.231,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…48bebacked Wild52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.922045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Wild51c566.4$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.127445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jets41c564.08$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jets65c549.22$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9962951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Wild51c520.61$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5858947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Jets49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24532451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Wild50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25012648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Wild51c489$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6113348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Wild51c460$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.474951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Wild49c442.02$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4314945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jets54c439.15$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0417057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc130…fd6abacked Jets49c437.27$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f1…d842backed Wild51c428.55$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Wild50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.