NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5acde36d56021cb3fcd8c0ca341d00f37f41ccc55665c0ca7eb4c694475cbbd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 9c | 3,219$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,085$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.18 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Under | 3c | 1,878$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 22c | 1,081$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 6c | 866.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 18c | 822.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 507.95$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.18 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 30c | 391.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 12c | 378.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 322$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 35c | 299.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 14c | 254.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 13c | 209.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 48c | 187$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 14c | 167.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 15c | 99.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 44.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 40.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Jets won
- Wild vs. JetsWild won
- Wild vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.