Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0fb8c974a484234a1277f68546af707cdb350978c32e099fafac8104183500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 50c | 176,296$88,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,147.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 103,159$51,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,166.35 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 50c | 26,130$13,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,065 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 22,358$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.58 | 3,288 | 42.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L | -74.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 50c | 17,300$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,650 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 11,859$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870.44 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 9,451$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.64 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 49c | 8,638$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 50c | 8,041$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.45 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 51c | 7,686$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 50c | 7,383$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked No | 50c | 6,990$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 50c | 5,050$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 4,850$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.73 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 50c | 4,460$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 3,532$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.87 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 78c | 3,468$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.03 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 48c | 2,595$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 2,210$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.01 | 1,691 | 45%761 W · 930 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 48c | 1,890$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 1,726$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 76c | 1,411$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.05 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 50c | 1,328$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.63 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.17 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 16c | 1,136$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 50c | 1,083$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.59 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed No | 49c | 999.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 51c | 985.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 51c | 926$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.26 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 49c | 704.9$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 608$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 578$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 37c | 536$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 50c | 467.64$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 463.94$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 450 | 55.3%249 W · 201 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 51c | 450$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 47c | 397.13$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…3c11backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 5c | 340.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 334$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 501 | 43.5%218 W · 283 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 49c | 326.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 294$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…36c7backed Yes | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 254$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 50c | 231.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 203.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 50c | 194.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked No | 49c | 181.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.