Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x441fed580ea51a29ba575e1f97fa62b3fb27730c1016c3ee4f85e90c6cf20311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,883,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,898,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,883,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 38c | 2,297,254$871,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871,245.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked No | 62c | 800,000$496,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 62c | 461,752$286,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,465.74 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 62c | 250,000$155,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 62c | 250,000$155,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 126,953$76,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,519.31 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 38c | 80,010$30,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,403.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 62c | 75,000$46,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 72,633$45,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,261.61 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 49,720$32,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400.81 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 40,147$15,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,480.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 64c | 38,591$24,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,039.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 62c | 35,000$21,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 62c | 27,500$17,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 71c | 24,435$17,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,458.86 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked No | 63c | 16,210$10,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 15,823$9,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,893.11 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 62c | 13,405$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 31c | 13,070$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.79 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 62c | 11,111$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.18 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 10,275$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.29 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 62c | 10,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 66c | 9,162$6,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 63c | 8,429$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 63c | 7,948$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 65c | 6,941$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.46 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 6,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 5,806$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 5,470$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.97 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 34c | 4,550$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.49 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 63c | 4,541$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.27 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 63c | 4,226$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 35c | 3,339$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.12 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 3,200$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.2 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…dbeebacked Yes | 33c | 2,366$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 35c | 2,318$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.18 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 2,201$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.81 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 30c | 2,168$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.44 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 11c | 2,069$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 34c | 1,908$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.66 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 1,750$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.5 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 37c | 1,614$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.18 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 77c | 1,605$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.66 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 68c | 1,593$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.1 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 62c | 1,252$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 28c | 1,208$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.88 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 1,200$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.32 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,075$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 45c | 1,066$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 1,010$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 45c | 1,006$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.16 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 76c | 983.31$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 20c | 980.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 36c | 935.73$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 47c | 875.04$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d83…27afbacked No | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 66c | 782.62$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.09 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 66c | 764$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 40c | 757.45$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed No | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 31c | 712.03$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 38c | 698.21$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 49c | 680.95$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…d3cfbacked Yes | 72c | 653.01$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked No | 61c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 541.44$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.26 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 63c | 540$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 39c | 537.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.14 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 63c | 533$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.