Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193a359afb1fd9d60d18c947b25891f3572d6897bb2cc5be626acd3eb5886900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 10,243$7,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,503.88 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 8,665$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.26 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 7,678$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.93 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 73c | 7,437$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 73c | 5,700$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 5,513$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 73c | 5,225$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.4 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 4,770$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.63 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 74c | 3,900$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 32c | 3,622$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.98 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 6c | 3,607$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 34c | 3,257$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.53 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…3498backed Yes | 6c | 3,122$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,255$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.13 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 2,222$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.02 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 73c | 2,011$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.03 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 1,794$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 29c | 1,413$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 1,336$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.28 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,231$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.91 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 73c | 1,074$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 27c | 1,009$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 73c | 999.92$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Yes | 31c | 946.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 27c | 939.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 28c | 871.06$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 27c | 818.52$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.52 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Yes | 27c | 727.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 20c | 655.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 6c | 614.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 35c | 566.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 565.98$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.82 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 26c | 503.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…6c8ebacked No | 65c | 498.02$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 49c | 464.79$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 46c | 447.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…8b78backed No | 77c | 409.25$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 407.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.14 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +528%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 74c | 336.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed Yes | 46c | 318.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 23c | 298.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…eb4cbacked Yes | 23c | 298.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 30c | 276.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Yes | 17c | 258.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Yes | 32c | 245.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Yes | 23c | 239.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +143%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…0753backed No | 9c | 227.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 28c | 227.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 26c | 211.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 23c | 210$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 74c | 206.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 25c | 195.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 43c | 187.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 74c | 164$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f70…8c80backed Yes | 67c | 148.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 143.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…9541backed Yes | 27c | 119.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +200%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 26c | 117$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 75c | 111$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 65c | 111$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Yes | 27c | 110.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +220.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 28c | 107.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 25c | 105.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Yes | 26c | 104.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…2420backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +402.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 22c | 96.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Yes | 26c | 95.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 27c | 88.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 36c | 84.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…5fedbacked Yes | 60c | 83.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…05b7backed Yes | 61c | 82.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 42c | 79.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…dfa9backed Yes | 59c | 77.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…8f52backed Yes | 25c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.