Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdfae48a08dbf1b7c4dd161c9999ac63b7d72df02fb9d0944193678f870e374f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $705,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 62c | 140,769$87,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,492.14 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 42c | 70,652$29,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,983.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 61c | 49,999$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 38c | 41,204$15,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,601.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 39,110$18,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,885.75 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 58c | 29,474$17,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,109.88 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…264ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 26,183$10,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,634.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed No | 67c | 18,105$12,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 49c | 15,647$7,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,688 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 64c | 15,425$9,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.86 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 14,807$5,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725.61 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 14,417$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.09 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 14,400$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.22 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…da0ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 7,428$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.47 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 47c | 7,145$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 39c | 6,795$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 6,557$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.01 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 62c | 6,213$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.96 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.98 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 62c | 5,808$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.04 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 39c | 4,967$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,805$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 38c | 4,703$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 61c | 4,283$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.42 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 39c | 3,844$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 72c | 3,782$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.28 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2ac1backed Yes | 39c | 3,667$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 70c | 3,581$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 36c | 3,495$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.11 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 39c | 3,395$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 31c | 3,172$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 2,917$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.56 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 2,746$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.47 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 39c | 2,703$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.52 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 35c | 2,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 39c | 2,250$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 36c | 2,008$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.61 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 37c | 1,587$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.15 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 39c | 1,539$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.21 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 1,488$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,418$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 69c | 1,352$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.05 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 62c | 1,200$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.53 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec8…2effbacked Yes | 39c | 1,180$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…c49abacked Yes | 1c | 1,128$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 46c | 1,114$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.58 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 36c | 977.78$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 35c | 922$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 22c | 918.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed Yes | 39c | 888.69$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked No | 62c | 871.19$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 43c | 869.01$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 6c | 863.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 62c | 846.77$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.77 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 26c | 829.58$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Yes | 38c | 812.82$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Yes | 36c | 804.45$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 28c | 802.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +528%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 61c | 800.98$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 37c | 734.66$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 36c | 722.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 38c | 717.1$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 62c | 671.86$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Yes | 23c | 663.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 65c | 652.29$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Yes | 39c | 650$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 79c | 647.61$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 62c | 644.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b767backed Yes | 39c | 643.51$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed No | 62c | 620.97$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 64c | 620.64$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 39c | 605.13$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 39c | 601.85$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 38c | 600$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.28 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…0db6backed Yes | 31c | 576.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.