TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x977d…9a58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Ostapenko (+1.5)backed Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.63
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Franco Roncadellibacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.19
Set Handicap: Sramkova (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)backed Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.78
Korpatsch vs. Arango: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
Set Handicap: Parks (-1.5) vs Avanesyan (+1.5)backed Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$291.4
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+136.4%+$168.32
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$71.04
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$176.21
Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs Bartunkovabacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Musetti vs. Machac: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$81.52
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.86
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$43.86
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$57.9
Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
Set Handicap: Machac (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)backed Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.45
Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$52.72
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)backed Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.87
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$124.99
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+137.2%+$72.87
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$87.45
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$63.71
Set 1 Winner: Preston vs Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+142.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$26.8
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$151.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+143%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$48.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.