TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks45c7,717$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Cavaliers57c5,975$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.521055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710a…a5d8backed Cavaliers51c4,200$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0582157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf32…e0e7backed Knicks49c4,200$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0582864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71ea…a8eebacked Cavaliers51c4,200$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0582356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4db…309dbacked Knicks49c4,200$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0582157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Knicks46c4,168$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.4117031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers54c4,091$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.372,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers55c3,136$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks45c2,213$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Knicks44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8809451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Knicks46c1,743$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.659140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Cavaliers54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50641652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Cavaliers54c1,001$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.251651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Cavaliers56c636.67$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers51c624.5$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Knicks41c544.07$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0771547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers52c522.53$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.811,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Knicks44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Cavaliers54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9922846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Knicks34c470.21$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0412843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks48c460$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Knicks49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19611839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Knicks49c399.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9919351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers61c333$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks43c326$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.181,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Cavaliers56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1329445.7%43 W · 51 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks47c299.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Knicks43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Cavaliers55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Knicks44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Knicks44c179.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.123153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Cavaliers55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6449852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Cavaliers55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2781845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b69…c635backed Knicks46c127$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f2…7364backed Knicks50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Cavaliers51c119$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.319560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Knicks42c118.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7423845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks44c113.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.371,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks44c105.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Knicks25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Knicks35c93.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.543342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Knicks43c91.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4910057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Cavaliers55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.919660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Knicks43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Knicks43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.762349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Cavaliers54c89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.945152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Knicks46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Knicks43c72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Cavaliers59c71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.118749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Cavaliers55c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.158450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Cavaliers52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4610044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Knicks43c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Knicks43c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2233147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Knicks41c54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3212545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Cavaliers53c49.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.499458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d3…bb7cbacked Cavaliers54c49.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Cavaliers63c48.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.071050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Cavaliers51c48.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6948451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers54c47.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977d…9a58backed Knicks43c46.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacb…dff3backed Cavaliers54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Cavaliers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2232450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Cavaliers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2210257.8%59 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks49c38.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7165950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Knicks41c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.173351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b33…6c89backed Knicks50c36.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Knicks43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4822048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Knicks43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Knicks43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4831250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Knicks43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4823850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Knicks43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4825250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Knicks43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Knicks43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers54c35.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.592,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Knicks49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Knicks49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Cavaliers58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.926157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Knicks46c25.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7516447.6%78 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Cavaliers59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2517447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Knicks49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.255448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b66…304cbacked Knicks46c24.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Cavaliers55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6428856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Cavaliers55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.354560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3a…1e7abacked Cavaliers52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…4a17backed Knicks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.