NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f5096c75d4df7f0e3e1dd5335ef5f94741c903f5fd51c20f33df19ba34a5a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 53c | 26,165$13,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.78 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 52c | 16,489$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Under | 44c | 6,349$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.41 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 6,246$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.61 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…3ba8backed Over | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…29f1backed Under | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Under | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Over | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…70eabacked Under | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Over | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…796dbacked Over | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Under | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,893$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,853$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 53c | 2,311$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.17 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,961$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 1,816$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 52c | 1,763$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.47 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,449$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.52 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,334$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.15 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 55c | 1,133$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.72 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Under | 45c | 1,084$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,002$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…c918backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 712.56$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.78 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 70c | 654.15$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Under | 48c | 515.29$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Under | 60c | 501.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 40c | 494.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.55 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 481$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Under | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 46c | 378.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 53c | 305.8$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…c1e3backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 299.51$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 65c | 263.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…1aaabacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 40c | 235.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…9f6fbacked Over | 51c | 230.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…0573backed Under | 50c | 226$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 40c | 215.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…15a8backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…da3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…b176backed Under | 72c | 140.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 49c | 134$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Over | 64c | 133.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 46c | 121$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 40c | 108.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Over | 50c | 85.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 47c | 80.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…70cdbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b66…304cbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…e28cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.