NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d00fbdd45a2f9d46391caba71de72e5edc03a0e487f3fce1184f110ee7cb0f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Over | 50c | 17,602$8,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,743.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 12,141$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 10,521$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 5,944$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 51c | 5,005$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.45 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 4,127$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 52c | 3,250$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.13 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.13 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 1,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.98 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 999.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 51c | 892.16$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.16 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 772.81$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 50c | 361.28$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 224.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 208.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…b176backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 143.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 55c | 111.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Over | 55c | 94.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Over | 51c | 81.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 67.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…7750backed Under | 75c | 63.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…f024backed Under | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…1dc8backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 50c | 25.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 52c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…3f1fbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.