NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f90f20fcbe3c79631cbca222f91095a3347a307a8205d785bcb309ab01a4861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 62c | 3,111$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.89 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 32c | 1,713$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.57 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Over | 63c | 1,477$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 1,251$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 68c | 661.53$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.53 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 40c | 490.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 60c | 482.1$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 478.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 202.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 35c | 177.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 176.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 67c | 171.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 55c | 138.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 120.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 40c | 98.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 65c | 91.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 36c | 79.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 74c | 78.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 35c | 61.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6c…9bd6backed Under | 37c | 46.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…9c76backed Over | 68c | 31.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 68c | 27.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…276fbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.