NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4587c512f6ca2ff9b4aac1df9561fffb38eb726177716d29694f4c07c54ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 55c | 6,384$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 6,368$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.36 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 57c | 5,110$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 49c | 5,055$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,713$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Over | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 43c | 329.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 44c | 299.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 40c | 203.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 46c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 133$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 58c | 107.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d5bfbacked Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Under | 55c | 100.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…e145backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Under | 49c | 84.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 57c | 79.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…82c0backed Over | 52c | 40.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +234.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…263bbacked Under | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…81a1backed Over | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 58c | 32.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1a5ebacked Under | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Over | 58c | 26.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 58c | 21.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 51c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.