TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over51c8,755$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,329.742,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under49c8,700$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under52c4,849$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c2,220$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.7633150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under55c1,809$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.323,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over59c1,506$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.5923550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over55c1,348$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.822,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,312$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over36c1,001$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Over54c963.46$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c821.62$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under38c741.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9222656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c587$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c521.57$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c392.03$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c349.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb3…108ebacked Under5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under41c211.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5663745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over51c193.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9516254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.276839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under47c138.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6533730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over50c135.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1227144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.722836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Over55c128.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0420355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under45c123$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.355345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Under44c121.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4617341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under46c115$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.214645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under46c107$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.129050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Under45c105.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.657745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.419560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Over68c101.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.614050%20 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d2…c6dabacked Under44c98.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.661346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under49c96.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4637352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Over63c85.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.613342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.258450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under43c71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.536952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under54c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.351,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under48c64.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.931144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under55c61.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.591,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Under48c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.883342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.487951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Over55c51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.954951%25 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7820150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Under56c44.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510345.6%47 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over60c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.226045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd30a…bf7cbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Over53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95da…60b4backed Over52c38.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.523250%16 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under31c38.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.863961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.394047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.752755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.983961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34165.9%27 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Over53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.985164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over58c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.863652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over55c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.852657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.185850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Over57c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.472138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Over50c25.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59443.6%41 W · 53 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.754344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Over52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Over55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.124652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Over55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed Over55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Over52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.082948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Over53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5618…4984backed Over57c18.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.