NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x308ee4d9ab4197098b85a7f0f42ea69c448b383c9403372c0ad29cd7b23c35e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 56c | 3,851$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 52c | 2,463$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.31 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,154$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 1,609$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.15 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,432$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.39 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 49c | 1,382$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.73 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 1,326$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.37 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a46cbacked Under | 49c | 1,035$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,020$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.69 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 41c | 981.17$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.47 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 55c | 895$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.05 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 784.23$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 776$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.48 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Under | 51c | 755.39$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…525cbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…706cbacked Under | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 381.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 51c | 357.22$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.04 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Over | 69c | 340$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 313.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…d068backed Over | 52c | 245.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 219.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Under | 46c | 217.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…c59fbacked Over | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…6937backed Over | 52c | 193.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…b195backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Over | 54c | 99.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 49c | 76.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 74.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…7fb8backed Over | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Under | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Under | 47c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 34.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 50c | 33.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 50c | 20.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.