NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0f97777e3be7ea420392a969b6f7a15c912692e93379f03402b904e522ec2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Knicks | 76c | 3,205$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.72 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Cavaliers | 2c | 1,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Cavaliers | 2c | 1,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,310$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Cavaliers | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Knicks | 48c | 964.27$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.27 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Cavaliers | 2c | 650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 517.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cavaliers | 21c | 477.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Knicks | 62c | 325.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Cavaliers | 43c | 302.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Knicks | 57c | 212.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers | 39c | 177.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 174.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…613abacked Knicks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Knicks | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Knicks | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…428ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Knicks | 24c | 97.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Knicks | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 86.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Knicks | 62c | 68.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Knicks | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Knicks | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Cavaliers | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Knicks | 62c | 30.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.