TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over52c8,818$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.6520352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55f3…1a88backed Over57c8,274$4,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under46c5,447$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over46c1,991$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.072,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under54c1,867$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.893,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under45c1,253$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.891,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under60c1,200$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over40c700$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.081,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…5f31backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33f6…75b8backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7622…9b91backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a3…3ba3backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a3…0fddbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1f…da29backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cf…79aabacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6a…bb9ebacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…9e53backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c9…9caebacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ce…29cfbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x077f…7d25backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37d…ae87backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0c…91a9backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x947f…dba1backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1809…2c5ebacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc3…a969backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…6ca5backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…3b34backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ef…6882backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5d…4d64backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x199c…222ebacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d7…777dbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…70c8backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e9…b271backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cde…35a4backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66a…b725backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…34e6backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c46…8a69backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…13d1backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6289…21febacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ee…35b2backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecca…5e15backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8232…66d3backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f79…560abacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeedd…5100backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c96…8f17backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa541…2540backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff46…62d9backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de7…358dbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a84…4d4dbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…260ebacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2092…6f0cbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf130…fdb2backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80be…2562backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…9df5backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa3…dfa4backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6507…503abacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x822a…330bbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…9921backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc183…e0a0backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18d…5a37backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3597…29e8backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740f…1b80backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5b…2cabbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cd…d166backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c23…550dbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dac…0c8fbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…63a5backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74a…22abbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe6…7a88backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6b…0b6fbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…f3c1backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c9…0e08backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c23…f3a4backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…51cdbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646a…8022backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ab…332cbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8afcbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…ef0fbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b2…828dbacked Under48c587.6$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a2…388abacked Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2edb…10f6backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f6…6ee9backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b8…76d0backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf30…4240backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…b9e6backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf666…58febacked Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a7…c81dbacked Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6def…d402backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19b…a073backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588c…0244backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f30…9201backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…a819backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f02…62a3backed Under48c587.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under43c494.57$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6615653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under43c319$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Under54c261.81$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.383148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c234$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under44c219.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.11,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over51c195.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.811,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under43c178$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.548050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.