NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d87b32684294079654e98ef922cd830579c46704a3893b5d2a7275ef1f29f90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 54c | 5,970$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 3,551$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 59c | 1,970$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.99 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 76c | 1,780$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.72 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 1,689$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.96 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 42c | 1,369$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 26c | 1,049$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 772.22$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…108ebacked Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 46c | 348.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.01 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 41c | 337$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…82c0backed Over | 53c | 315.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +234.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 48c | 223.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 221.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 57c | 199$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 181.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 59c | 170$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 64c | 147$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 38c | 139$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 63c | 131.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…c8ccbacked Under | 25c | 115.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked Over | 50c | 114.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 37c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 62c | 80.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 71.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 65.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 37c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…1795backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 42c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 47c | 53.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 63c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 78c | 40.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 28.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…1a88backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.