Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68857b4fc1f88cec6d284e43e9dceffd529b1cb91326463aa78e687ea8fef32a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 54c | 5,601$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 4,811$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 4,680$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.59 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 51c | 1,943$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 50c | 970.98$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.49 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 53c | 942.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 53c | 932.08$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 47c | 700$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 518.34$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 407.48$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 391.18$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 49c | 352.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…d291backed Yes | 51c | 220.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 53c | 190.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 43c | 174.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…81c4backed Yes | 53c | 156.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 51c | 147.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Yes | 53c | 140.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 50c | 107.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 52c | 95.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked No | 50c | 88.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 49c | 81.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Yes | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Yes | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…32a9backed Yes | 55c | 52.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 51.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked No | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 46.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…ee46backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…05bcbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 53c | 34.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed No | 50c | 33.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 49c | 30.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.