TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$712,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$709,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c474,886$213,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,195.122450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under55c205,442$112,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,612.136347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under55c131,406$71,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,430.867938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under58c127,642$74,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,035.064566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over48c47,005$22,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,474.173164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over43c29,121$12,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,521.9711848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under56c26,769$14,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,814.296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c23,346$9,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,571.8393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c11,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,84016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c6,204$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.7145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c4,552$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.691,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Over45c2,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over64c2,222$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.941861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c2,126$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.719652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,067$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.352,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9608251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under54c2,000$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.142657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under56c1,923$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over44c1,628$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.9512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c1,364$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.1838744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over47c1,359$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.5914142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over43c864.7$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed Over12c820.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38410152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under54c785.48$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Under52c769.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28720827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6477…cc5bbacked Over45c689.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28813152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over44c524.98$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.245639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over42c450.52$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.56949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under56c425.31$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1416448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.738757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1763262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c377.78$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under52c360$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.814155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under52c360$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under52c360$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.828458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under58c345.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.022391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+48.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over44c342.86$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14418459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2b0…e7e9backed Over45c298.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.28333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c291.05$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under56c286.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over43c275.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11915253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over45c273.36$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.017254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.28852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.211154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.28148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.212453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.211454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.210952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.27746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.210252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.211953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.215459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under57c239.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.26863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over43c232.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa088…3d07backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over44c227.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.392955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x780c…7921backed Under59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4801…295fbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Over55c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under56c194.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394a…536ebacked Over45c186.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.415847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…27e7backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Over41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x676a…3ef4backed Over45c140.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Under59c132.89$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9429…11b3backed Over43c128$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Under53c123.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.