Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b582c79508fdf2d48c328e56cf0c85721a8cf1cfb113eb1eeda9a5fdbcc6d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 42c | 851.47$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.05 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 799.44$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 51c | 592.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 58c | 344$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 217.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 49c | 196.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 58c | 173.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 113.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 51c | 97.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 59c | 83.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed Yes | 51c | 77.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 60.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed No | 47c | 55.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 67c | 44.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked No | 39c | 37.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 69c | 36.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 30.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 41c | 28.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 60c | 23.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 61c | 19.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.