Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7653864bc93de44077a3a48adf459088c89300c6e81329c3ed91b06a8291353f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,979$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.89 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 30c | 1,622$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.42 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 1,403$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.43 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…0c07backed Over | 52c | 617.52$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Under | 51c | 587.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 47c | 519.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 443.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 383.54$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 313.46$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 26c | 154.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 102.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 43c | 80.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 32c | 44.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Under | 53c | 27.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 50c | 25.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.