Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e4004ffd9c5a84df384c10e9db06a5f5d19f6407b69d7db5a9caee19126a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,394$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 3,213$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.7 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 34c | 2,946$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 25c | 1,263$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.55 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 27c | 612.71$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under | 77c | 505$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 70c | 444$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Under | 73c | 302.7$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 29c | 287.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 73c | 206$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 28c | 94.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 77.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 74c | 42.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…2e5abacked Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 75c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…1c83backed Under | 70c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.