Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5e6d2f5588cba14e0858accd092e5e309bd92aa243f4cd1f98fde0bf5e920ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 3,968$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 64c | 3,019$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Under | 30c | 2,418$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 69c | 1,161$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.14 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821e…4e0ebacked Over | 56c | 729.33$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 33c | 531.34$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.62 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 39c | 439.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 70c | 436.93$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 36c | 417.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 28c | 405.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.39 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 32c | 356$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 294.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 70c | 279$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 73c | 243.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 61c | 200.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 176.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed Under | 78c | 163.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 70c | 160$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 70c | 132$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 43c | 101$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 95.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 70c | 81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 77.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 70c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 73c | 54.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 69c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 32c | 52.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 54c | 50.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 70c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 69c | 24.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 45c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over | 58c | 17.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.