Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbf64e8a8ba5071d9026099a59b9db892344efbaf5dcfed9275ec8897b249c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Yes | 25c | 1,332$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,242$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 58c | 450.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 448.61$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…8e16backed No | 68c | 288.07$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed No | 56c | 264.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed No | 14c | 224.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 47c | 209.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 18c | 148.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Yes | 8c | 122.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 33c | 106.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 55c | 75.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes | 44c | 59.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Yes | 52c | 45.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed No | 63c | 39.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…5cdbbacked No | 51c | 35.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 70c | 33.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 41c | 26.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…75dabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.