Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1571ef8a35a7de071491d008ec1138bf0a2c8651ddeec8fcab61d98b055fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Under | 51c | 248.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 248.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 247.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 231.76$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 17c | 210.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 48c | 174.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 52c | 143$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 19c | 132.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 51c | 126.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 56c | 124.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 77c | 41.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 49c | 31.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 28.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…6072backed Over | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 50c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.