Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588e6011195412b2573a9e71e9d6e065e57c1bd8b3e6cc9163028114630f72f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 50.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked No | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.