NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ef22ee9c2db42ceaf4b23d60d466c9f4589b3264b5cc82e72c324e5eb0129e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $632,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 50c | 135,063$66,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,864.14 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Spurs | 55c | 91,585$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,584.83 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 45c | 71,122$32,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,075.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 56c | 71,035$39,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,203.71 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Thunder | 47c | 60,696$28,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 51c | 38,193$19,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,588.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Spurs | 51c | 21,233$10,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,404.17 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Spurs | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Thunder | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.98 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 50c | 19,774$9,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,820.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Spurs | 74c | 18,879$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.78 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Spurs | 54c | 15,796$8,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,225.25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Thunder | 48c | 15,272$7,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 22c | 12,909$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Spurs | 55c | 12,619$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.3 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 46c | 12,507$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,733.29 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Thunder | 50c | 7,642$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.03 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Spurs | 54c | 6,330$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.63 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Spurs | 50c | 4,760$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.68 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 44c | 4,379$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.91 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Spurs | 58c | 4,179$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.48 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 44c | 4,166$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.86 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Thunder | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Spurs | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 51c | 3,561$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.06 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Thunder | 46c | 3,543$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.85 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Thunder | 50c | 3,517$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.53 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 46c | 3,480$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Spurs | 51c | 2,977$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.88 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Spurs | 51c | 2,819$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.28 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 50c | 2,725$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 51c | 2,600$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.9 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Spurs | 59c | 2,261$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Thunder | 26c | 2,105$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.34 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 43c | 1,799$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 53c | 1,533$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.72 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…cab1backed Thunder | 44c | 1,523$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Spurs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Spurs | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 48c | 1,126$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Spurs | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.45 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Thunder | 32c | 1,026$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Thunder | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Spurs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Spurs | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 44c | 888$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 51c | 763$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.97 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 44c | 735$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Spurs | 50c | 699.96$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…4135backed Thunder | 57c | 670$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 46c | 615$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Thunder | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Thunder | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Thunder | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 50c | 546$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Spurs | 57c | 529.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 52c | 523.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Thunder | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Thunder | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Thunder | 16c | 492.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Spurs | 60c | 492.16$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.16 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Spurs | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Spurs | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Thunder | 47c | 444.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Spurs | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Spurs | 56c | 427$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4b41backed Spurs | 49c | 400.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Spurs | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Spurs | 53c | 355$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Thunder | 47c | 353.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Thunder | 38c | 350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Thunder | 43c | 349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Spurs | 50c | 333$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7496backed Thunder | 44c | 328.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Thunder | 44c | 317.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Thunder | 47c | 306.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Thunder | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…19cbbacked Thunder | 47c | 286.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Spurs | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefa…c212backed Spurs | 55c | 281.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Thunder | 49c | 277.35$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Thunder | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Spurs | 56c | 248.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d5bfbacked Spurs | 55c | 234.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 46c | 231.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Spurs | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…a59cbacked Spurs | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Spurs | 56c | 229.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.