TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4818…fde0backed Under50c13,777$6,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,819.4551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c10,886$5,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,372.971,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c8,998$4,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,514.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under52c7,633$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.7276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c7,348$3,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.9929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0081…5014backed Over49c5,543$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c4,894$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.332,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbda…5a5ebacked Over50c4,880$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44060%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under49c4,474$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.78748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeec…c3c9backed Over50c4,323$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under47c4,100$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1732860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over53c4,100$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1732864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Over53c4,100$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1732050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8367…90e9backed Under47c4,100$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1731637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c3,865$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.851,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f96…f4f8backed Over50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf88…7aa4backed Over52c2,412$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.01812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0209451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over51c1,969$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Under20c1,894$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.93742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over16c1,564$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over49c1,394$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.1925452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89da…04dfbacked Over49c1,369$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,216$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.832,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over52c1,165$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over54c1,074$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58015756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.75,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under50c988$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.8921243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed Over51c901.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe9d4…e1d2backed Under22c873.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+345.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c858.75$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.21,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c779.92$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.761,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c771$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea27…19c6backed Over54c726.52$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.324057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over48c625.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4740648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c581.1$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.174,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54c…4aafbacked Over51c578.43$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Under52c564.76$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2215244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over51c546.75$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under35c539.92$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7827144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under51c392.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.359659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6265649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c314.79$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.392,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee2…30bbbacked Under51c304.12$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.024100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15321749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d1…3a20backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under49c286$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.861,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c281.83$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.732,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Over53c281.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over51c275$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x890a…093cbacked Under46c243.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.363259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a2…2d93backed Over52c232.37$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee6…dbe9backed Over52c228.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4222953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c200.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.81,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b7…15a8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Under50c191.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.957745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7f…23b1backed Over53c190.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under52c168$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.648450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.448050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Over65c152.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.987853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Over18c150.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.963342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under17c148.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c145.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.063,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Over35c140.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over44c132.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.435326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under47c127$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.319258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under53c126.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3833246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under36c111.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.987651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Over50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over16c100.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8963427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1614127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under47c98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.947648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under47c96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.887951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under47c89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.177353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.968852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under52c83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.847557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.229446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.552,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d2…c6dabacked Over52c75.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under52c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5610143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Under52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.643342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.915750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.742835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c57.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.613,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.