NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f46bca2cb2647578e8116d9b04c5a26b0f89e89dce4f000b208e57ea6cc1961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 44c | 19,997$8,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,198.47 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 56c | 19,702$11,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,033.05 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 46c | 14,618$6,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 52c | 13,123$6,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.19 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 56c | 7,537$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220.79 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 46c | 6,482$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.2 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 53c | 4,446$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.38 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Spurs | 47c | 4,446$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.38 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Thunder | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 56c | 2,450$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Spurs | 48c | 2,336$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.9 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 45c | 2,264$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.68 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.42 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 54c | 2,182$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.21 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Spurs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.97 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Thunder | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,722$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.32 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,620$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,587$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,183$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.65 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Spurs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Thunder | 56c | 985.92$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 46c | 971.7$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 53c | 699.95$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.97 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 46c | 625$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Spurs | 47c | 616$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Spurs | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 32c | 512.88$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Spurs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Thunder | 3c | 449.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Spurs | 45c | 439.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.66 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Thunder | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Thunder | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Spurs | 67c | 373.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Spurs | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Spurs | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Thunder | 42c | 298.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Spurs | 69c | 297.1$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Spurs | 47c | 275.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Spurs | 44c | 275$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Spurs | 45c | 250$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 47c | 246.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4b41backed Spurs | 61c | 242.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Spurs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Thunder | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…5058backed Thunder | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Thunder | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 53c | 189.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Thunder | 54c | 186.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Thunder | 31c | 183.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Thunder | 57c | 176.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Thunder | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Spurs | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 47c | 140.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Spurs | 48c | 138.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Spurs | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Thunder | 52c | 123.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Thunder | 30c | 121.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…e145backed Thunder | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Spurs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Spurs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Spurs | 62c | 104.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Thunder | 56c | 102.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…a940backed Spurs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +234.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Thunder | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Thunder | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Spurs | 43c | 92.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Thunder | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Thunder | 55c | 91.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Spurs | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Spurs | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed Thunder | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Thunder | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Spurs | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Thunder | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Thunder | 55c | 74.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Spurs | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Spurs | 60c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Spurs | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Spurs | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Spurs | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Thunder | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Spurs | 53c | 59.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Spurs | 63c | 55.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Spurs | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Thunder | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…682abacked Spurs | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Thunder | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.