TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under54c60,914$32,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,074.661,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c16,933$8,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,207.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c8,888$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.121,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c8,888$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.112,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54c…4aafbacked Over49c8,531$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89da…04dfbacked Over47c8,474$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c5,241$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over48c5,131$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.771450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over49c4,490$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20333447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x251e…71e4backed Over49c4,490$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c4,408$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.11,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over49c4,006$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.1429351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over49c3,060$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.3924847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c2,014$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over50c2,004$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.8416633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over47c1,609$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.1427735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over49c1,548$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.5285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c1,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7152,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c1,280$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,033$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under55c850$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over46c830$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c774.56$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over49c664.71$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.711855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c626.77$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c624$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under51c529.41$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4121355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Under57c504.19$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c490.38$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.382,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Under52c471.15$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.152759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Under52c423.08$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.089450%47 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c387$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.631,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over47c342.55$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16162347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Over43c157.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.83342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under54c146$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.166349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under55c128$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under53c124$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.286454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under53c119$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.933348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2447738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under54c107$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.228050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over47c106.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0413946.8%65 W · 74 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0411348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.173445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.223153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Over47c82.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under49c81.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4219351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c45…ef75backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.756349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over48c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.381,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under47c65.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under51c55.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.321,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.76160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53f3…5a90backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.274953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4d…7fb8backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.334252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under52c38.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2120241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4274…4740backed Under50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over45c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.653237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Over46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.563053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451520%3 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57a…a337backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over45c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.052755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Over46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed Over47c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.691428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Over46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Over47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Over46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.125056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c21.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114580%36 W · 9 L+12.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.