NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0011c9f7f02f20e6a57c9aa51bdbb40b69d8d96804bf15bde06edff6e11d0795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Thunder | 53c | 6,538$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 45c | 5,836$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.71 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 40c | 5,527$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Spurs | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Spurs | 62c | 3,560$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.69 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 47c | 3,506$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 60c | 3,331$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.11 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 40c | 2,269$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Spurs | 60c | 1,800$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.98 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Thunder | 32c | 1,477$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.69 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Thunder | 42c | 1,367$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.24 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Spurs | 58c | 1,007$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.11 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Spurs | 51c | 986.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.35 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Spurs | 58c | 883$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Spurs | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7496backed Thunder | 40c | 740$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Thunder | 52c | 667$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Spurs | 56c | 636.28$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Spurs | 51c | 589.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Spurs | 52c | 577.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 41c | 547.82$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.91 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Spurs | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Thunder | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Thunder | 42c | 474.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 50c | 455.31$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 36c | 445.76$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Spurs | 56c | 399.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Spurs | 59c | 338.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 55c | 330.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 52c | 310$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Spurs | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Spurs | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Spurs | 57c | 299.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Spurs | 54c | 259.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…0a0bbacked Thunder | 46c | 254.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Spurs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Spurs | 58c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs | 50c | 188.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Spurs | 58c | 171.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 42c | 156$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Thunder | 41c | 150.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Spurs | 60c | 133$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Thunder | 53c | 131.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Spurs | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…6af8backed Spurs | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Spurs | 58c | 118$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…8052backed Thunder | 41c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Thunder | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Spurs | 58c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 55c | 103$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Spurs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Spurs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Spurs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…0601backed Thunder | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…f574backed Thunder | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Spurs | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Spurs | 58c | 96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Thunder | 39c | 93.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Spurs | 63c | 89.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Spurs | 58c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Spurs | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Spurs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Spurs | 58c | 78.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Spurs | 60c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Spurs | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Spurs | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb832…7203backed Spurs | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Spurs | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Spurs | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed Spurs | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Spurs | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Thunder | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Spurs | 60c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Spurs | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Spurs | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Thunder | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Spurs | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…720cbacked Spurs | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Spurs | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…271dbacked Spurs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…432dbacked Spurs | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Thunder | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Thunder | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Thunder | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Spurs | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…1dc8backed Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Thunder | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Thunder | 43c | 36.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Thunder | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Thunder | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Thunder | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.