Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9469be932505a782d7bdb79b13fbb65144beb03c4657959ef49a03266f462bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Weibo Gaming | 55c | 2,557$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.72 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 2,242$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 89.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 43.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Weibo Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…c001backed Weibo Gaming | 55c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…a095backed Weibo Gaming | 79c | 14.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.