Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x876b605e4e2e9046750df75b02849dc6eb6decd5425723c5b21b97b84e2e710b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 3,696$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked Over | 63c | 231.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Under | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Under | 43c | 163.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Over | 44c | 162.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 54c | 156$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 34c | 129.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 35c | 106.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 94.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 49c | 46.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 78c | 23.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…6626backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.