NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98f2083614083455f8e9e0a2377dbe0663ffd11e6cebde5576a7c922daf38be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Hurricanes | 46c | 21,372$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,541.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Ducks | 56c | 13,030$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Ducks | 56c | 8,318$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 54c | 7,424$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.83 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Hurricanes | 44c | 7,310$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Hurricanes | 44c | 5,104$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Hurricanes | 44c | 4,894$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Hurricanes | 44c | 3,265$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 45c | 1,849$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.67 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Ducks | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.45 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 56c | 1,500$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Hurricanes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 54c | 979.88$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ducks | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Hurricanes | 44c | 728$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.68 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 54c | 678$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.12 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hurricanes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes | 45c | 460$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ducks | 57c | 280$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes | 49c | 264$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hurricanes | 45c | 251.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ducks | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Hurricanes | 44c | 201.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 54c | 171.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 158.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Ducks | 50c | 133.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Hurricanes | 44c | 131.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Hurricanes | 44c | 126.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Ducks | 54c | 121.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 121.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Hurricanes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Hurricanes | 68c | 100.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Hurricanes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ducks | 65c | 99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hurricanes | 47c | 86.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ducks | 23c | 83.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Hurricanes | 44c | 78.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Hurricanes | 44c | 76.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +86%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Hurricanes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Hurricanes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Hurricanes | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Ducks | 32c | 61.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Ducks | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Ducks | 55c | 55.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Ducks | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Ducks | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Ducks | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ducks | 55c | 42.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…ba12backed Hurricanes | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hurricanes | 43c | 33.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Ducks | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Ducks | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Ducks | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hurricanes | 45c | 24.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Ducks | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Ducks | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Ducks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Ducks | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Hurricanes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Ducks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.