TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over56c139,712$78,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,823.467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under44c45,265$19,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,916.71,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under43c21,249$9,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,13756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under43c17,462$7,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,576.3428353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c13,875$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,100.261,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under43c8,622$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,745.1393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over57c8,607$4,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,678.871,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c6,120$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.92,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under43c5,027$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.6928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c4,698$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.971,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under43c4,600$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under45c3,681$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.486653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under43c3,236$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.5438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over57c2,301$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.761,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over56c2,296$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.641,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c2,073$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.762,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under43c1,710$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.32941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under43c1,507$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Under43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Under43c1,216$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.883458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed Under43c1,162$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under44c1,111$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeec…9912backed Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under43c1,072$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.251,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over58c1,064$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4130349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under45c909.08$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0912152.1%63 W · 58 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36f…f353backed Under43c878$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over54c779$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Under43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30153337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c640$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2258352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under50c600.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x957a…c34dbacked Under43c588.37$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under43c577.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c540.08$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.042,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under44c450.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4822150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c407$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under42c399.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.983953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under44c295.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under43c287.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.75547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over58c237.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.939654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under19c234.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5921048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over70c190$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.115238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over54c184.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2435248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under45c176.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…f55abacked Under46c169.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c07…7ae9backed Over55c127$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under43c123.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.22650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under43c106.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6213554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3187…896dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4334653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4338857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8398…749abacked Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over54c89.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.376157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under42c82.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6610450%52 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c78.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over79c71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.152,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under43c64.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8416463.4%104 W · 60 L+18.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3443256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under44c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7516048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under44c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7515647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under46c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9212548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Under45c49.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.133542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under46c45.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.914645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Under43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…f3f0backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Under45c39.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.566847.1%32 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under44c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0313145.8%60 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under44c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0313346.6%62 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under43c34.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0416447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over55c34.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf47…4d00backed Under46c29.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7347944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.424445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abb…061bbacked Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7518148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.