TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Ducks, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$541,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Hurricanes67c159,794$106,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,797.0815953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks29c42,740$12,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,259.6632744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Ducks33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes67c14,309$9,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.191,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes66c13,152$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,471.6556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hurricanes55c12,756$7,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,698.7938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Ducks68c11,574$7,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,817.266940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks36c11,076$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.7662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Ducks50c10,000$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,97510650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ducks34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9625449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks51c9,787$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.811,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Ducks34c9,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes65c8,493$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes74c8,282$6,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.741,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Hurricanes51c7,812$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,822.97844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Ducks53c7,591$4,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.134538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks34c6,500$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.861,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Ducks1c6,488$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.212504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ducks44c6,399$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.8241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Ducks0c6,154$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4518520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Ducks50c6,120$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Hurricanes67c5,823$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.551070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks16c5,757$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ducks33c5,627$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.8448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ducks35c5,095$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.2658352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ducks32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Ducks33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6506640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Ducks34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.998134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Ducks34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9961748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes35c4,939$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.422,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks33c4,796$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.5660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Hurricanes66c4,675$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.115349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Ducks23c4,625$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.4329926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Ducks0c4,176$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.817450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Ducks17c4,063$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.1117057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Ducks34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3603560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Ducks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Hurricanes54c3,871$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.5258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks22c3,687$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.181,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Hurricanes67c3,654$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.163764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ducks16c3,062$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.182,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Ducks17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes66c2,772$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.911,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c39…aebbbacked Hurricanes66c2,600$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Ducks34c2,572$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.4116346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes66c2,504$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.361,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ducks49c2,309$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.212,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Ducks35c2,286$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Hurricanes66c2,274$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks33c2,200$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9426…8253backed Hurricanes65c2,200$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ducks49c2,042$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.5427739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Ducks34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Hurricanes66c1,818$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.1822946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Ducks32c1,803$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.0762249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Ducks50c1,795$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eeb…a560backed Ducks35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Hurricanes65c1,697$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.6322852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…ea4abacked Ducks34c1,683$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.282138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hurricanes48c1,668$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.1939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks34c1,612$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.1685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks33c1,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Ducks50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Ducks33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Hurricanes66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf858…dc3cbacked Hurricanes65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes65c1,311$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Ducks57c1,202$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.8715057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hurricanes66c1,155$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Ducks22c1,121$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.973748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…4cd1backed Ducks1c1,120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6713…73dabacked Hurricanes67c1,119$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.42035%7 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Ducks34c1,101$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3325045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Hurricanes52c1,062$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.8824749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Ducks34c1,044$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ducks41c1,036$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.971,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Ducks34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x284f…a991backed Ducks35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Hurricanes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Ducks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks32c988.01$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6845751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hurricanes66c974.55$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Ducks50c935.35$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6828251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Hurricanes66c926.73$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.099254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x392c…bb64backed Ducks2c911.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa85…8542backed Ducks35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks33c873.89$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Hurricanes66c866.25$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5314848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Ducks35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Hurricanes43c836.91$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2243742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…00d0backed Ducks34c828.94$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Ducks34c805$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks34c793.47$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.