TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,360

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No53c36,942$19,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,248.12,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…6b51backed Yes49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c13,994$7,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,179.296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes49c10,529$5,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,153.7838744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c9,791$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,620.320544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes49c4,398$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.1348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Yes49c4,320$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c3,809$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.641,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes40c2,727$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No51c2,265$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.7814142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes49c1,895$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.552661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.143964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes48c1,722$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.5722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked No52c1,634$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.433250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No51c1,543$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.142356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No51c1,413$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.269556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No52c1,367$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.221457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes65c1,068$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.3443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9522237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.187332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked No52c967.18$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No51c902.64$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.292347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes44c818.18$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No64c770.48$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.682657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed No52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes50c747$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes68c718.69$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.715251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdea1…5a65backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No51c621.72$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7613639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No52c516.67$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2483164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7713137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes28c464.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No55c453.14$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes46c438$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0514549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No51c405$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.456949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d3…4c58backed Yes36c388.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No33c321$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes39c300.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.217529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14713152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes44c299.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes45c242.31$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.912040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No57c219.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3715045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed No77c210.96$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes49c209.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.836428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c204.8$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes49c195.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked No52c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No25c181.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.272714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes38c174.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.242025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977d…9a58backed Yes49c167.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No69c159.95$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3324849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No40c158$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Yes68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c146.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No77c146.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No55c145.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes45c142.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.152343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes46c135$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x268f…92e3backed Yes36c130.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3660%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed No33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+43.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes49c114.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No53c111$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1716842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4985…fe74backed Yes47c108.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No41c108$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7224238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No54c98.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes48c89.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.378169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5747…120abacked No60c80.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…842cbacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes40c75.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Yes68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes50c70.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3719549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed No51c64.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.752770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes31c64.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked No60c63.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.651346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.