Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907b032a73e4f6ee8e29245c96934e12dd3365086320c94caeb52ed82bc6f9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,278,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,662,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,278,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 68c | 474,561$321,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,561.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 34c | 253,991$87,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,105.2 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 120,979$44,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,331.11 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 118,850$77,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,211.24 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 35c | 115,650$40,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,564.98 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 34c | 107,823$36,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,676.59 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 34c | 106,441$36,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,224.84 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 102,372$31,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,456.53 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 65c | 95,000$61,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,249.98 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 34c | 86,999$29,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,579.67 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed No | 46c | 84,901$38,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,997.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 80,991$28,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,787.73 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 77,736$26,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,952.58 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 66c | 73,390$48,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,940.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 65c | 69,526$45,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,994.06 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 0c | 65,228$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 34c | 64,999$22,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,299.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 64c | 60,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 56c | 51,256$28,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,309.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 53c | 47,369$25,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,263.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 35c | 46,500$16,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,359.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 64c | 42,877$27,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,435.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 33c | 41,808$13,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,796.59 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 37,708$13,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,574.87 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 63c | 35,907$22,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,207.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 34,604$11,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,533.48 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 36c | 33,200$11,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,951.84 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 67c | 28,851$19,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,520.75 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 35c | 22,771$7,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,991.05 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…16a4backed No | 34c | 20,316$6,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,906.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 58c | 20,000$11,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,404.81 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 66c | 19,970$13,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 37c | 19,686$7,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,273.84 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed No | 55c | 18,333$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 18,306$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,209.06 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 63c | 17,000$10,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 15,704$10,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.55 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 32c | 14,785$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.82 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 64c | 14,463$9,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 34c | 13,916$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.84 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 13,549$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.07 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 56c | 13,462$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.46 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 65c | 13,000$8,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,593.33 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 72c | 12,800$9,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 12,126$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.09 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 64c | 12,024$7,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.34 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 13c | 11,839$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 38c | 11,583$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.56 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 35c | 11,434$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 36c | 11,280$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.81 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 9c | 10,498$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.07 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 34c | 10,249$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 51c | 10,132$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.36 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.96 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 36c | 9,707$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.55 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 57c | 9,500$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.79 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 38c | 9,272$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 61c | 9,051$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 34c | 9,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.18 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 65c | 8,537$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 7,891$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.87 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 15c | 7,570$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.98 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 35c | 7,280$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 61c | 7,130$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.86 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed Yes | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 67c | 6,965$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.47 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 65c | 6,927$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.35 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 61c | 6,732$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 60c | 6,706$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 72c | 6,563$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.93 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 59c | 6,500$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 33c | 6,240$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.43 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…c8eebacked Yes | 68c | 6,003$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 6,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 35c | 6,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 66c | 5,959$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.54 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 65c | 5,800$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 5,751$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.95 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 38c | 5,590$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.54 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 63c | 5,506$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.44 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 44c | 5,328$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.06 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 57c | 5,098$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.22 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 35c | 5,004$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…eee6backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 33c | 4,945$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.55 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 34c | 4,873$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 64c | 4,649$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.64 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 4c | 4,539$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.